Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 88.182601 98.376480 108.784414 120.175426 132.261816 144.675257 158.359727
2025-02-02 74.217795 89.125164 104.988218 123.003308 142.777426 163.712720 187.445180
2025-02-09 63.396403 80.682115 99.670326 121.828906 146.741297 173.668898 204.763334
2025-02-16 55.011522 73.870185 95.190833 120.668663 149.899845 182.039714 219.709058
2025-02-23 49.413815 69.620972 93.050997 121.620874 154.955818 192.119080 236.195016
2025-03-02 44.150155 65.248057 90.321809 121.487293 158.422015 200.120220 250.101487
2025-03-09 40.065995 61.946906 88.553894 122.202829 162.634678 208.783829 264.605414
2025-03-16 35.552183 57.721086 85.343144 120.907973 164.244354 214.252820 275.287191
2025-03-23 32.927513 55.733972 84.736622 122.630599 169.326673 223.680292 290.484333
2025-03-30 30.724143 54.127228 84.468905 124.653963 174.682416 233.369831 305.952154
2025-04-06 27.618658 51.038130 82.097948 123.880261 176.501922 238.769878 316.313874
2025-04-13 24.120395 47.113980 78.406476 121.235325 175.857771 241.098809 322.943295
2025-04-20 23.244559 46.982669 79.798341 125.174730 183.473217 253.481193 341.675668
2025-04-27 22.027944 46.248912 80.312270 127.937431 189.606266 264.084421 358.325263
2025-05-04 19.633346 43.515199 77.919304 126.755076 190.664236 268.437991 367.426904
2025-05-11 17.460741 40.942197 75.608769 125.563450 191.616635 272.593146 376.238366
2025-05-18 16.107537 39.587981 74.955952 126.539348 195.305111 280.092897 389.089430
2025-05-25 14.563927 37.777650 73.542750 126.402442 197.497360 285.700933 399.617157
2025-06-01 13.374016 36.473458 72.802624 127.135396 200.784029 292.650028 411.775346
2025-06-08 11.785731 34.299976 70.646305 125.809009 201.299834 296.081236 419.584639
2025-06-15 11.036199 33.610083 70.710221 127.573551 205.884365 304.628534 433.702807
2025-06-22 10.406291 33.092065 71.006064 129.645854 210.869478 313.685009 448.464963
2025-06-29 9.232630 31.381085 69.344743 128.853476 211.977186 317.792238 457.076034